Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:32:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,023.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
91x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
13,024.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13025 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
7,589.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,589.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net sender
Unknown type
5,318.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 7,589.08 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
13,024.89 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:32:28 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
142.46 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:31:15 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:30:03 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
35,551.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:33:40 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
164.71 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:28:51 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:34:52 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
5,498.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:27:39 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
313.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:36:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:32:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:32:54 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0005007d290ee8c3afed8cfca1bb42e971ec49ef31566f311483ecc8686190e0
117.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:32:04 A.M.
From: 0x002f67c884920007be348B4822f66D4Eaa13D83D
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0047004fadae68d940d2d29fbd8e21488e2c7ce64a4cff124b12b4415c8adbf8
7,589.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:32:04 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Tx: 0x00050016a5b5f647b9f447dacb00548794c096e3fec2dac826977f442c5deb6c
5,318.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:32:04 A.M.
From: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x007a007c4cea77ac7a39a3488f79d634c7903b0fc528bd0b99052fc2f7c51a7a