Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:18:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 51,913.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
3,132.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3132 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
31,914.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Net receiver
Unknown type
31,914.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 31,914.73 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
3,132.35 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:18:01 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:16:49 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
51,913.8 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:19:13 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
344.03 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:15:38 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
31,772.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:20:25 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
33,205.23 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
39,367.15 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:21:37 A.M.
-5 min
5 tx
1,407.18 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:13:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
31,914.73 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:18:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
31,914.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:18:41 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Tx: 0x00130012554ac8a1e7015307c742688859dafb749329d550bb376948594cf58f
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:18:02 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0070000207f49d20d528709e76eeb9c4793292f880b1e498f40f65d6472bc8d4