Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:14:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,205.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
24x previous minute
97x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
33,205.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 33205 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
27,859.55 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Net receiver
Unknown type
26,272.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
5,345.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,345.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
Net sender
Unknown type
537.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,587.41 QUAI
From exchange: 31,617.82 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
33,205.23 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
1,407.18 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:13:13 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate10 tx
41,589.79 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:12:01 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
344.03 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:15:38 A.M.
-3 min
34 tx
3,303.07 QUAI • 45 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:10:48 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:16:49 A.M.
-4 min
57 tx
5,118.43 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:09:35 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
3,132.35 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:18:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
26,272.14 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:14:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
26,272.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:14:18 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Tx: 0x006800222d160fa9f0491375dc8ac1c763e0dd88d4078879ad36142e8bc5a63d
5,345.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:14:18 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Tx: 0x0020005db76a943ad770bdc4bb6d7b106bf292c1ac565e0771723d26800ec14c
100.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a003c6085fca6cca073b2371369e4944d61d1ef47bb4fa27e3bf214ddd37b
409.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068003096be35d7102e693ecbf04aac671ace3867d6c6b0238d61799c5317d4
537.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a0059b7f21d7a3e07e496a5bd8215acc59f44a708f4e11ce76a6a82e7cb41
121.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110075921ffdb59501e93dfca413ead22a3c878ae8f89387965bcb63a8fe62
294.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00400046838f2bd024a8c230fd908df09d276d51f50b82c4881204eeca63ad98
123.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:14:18 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067003508157e1f57b1549bd51b85904387093c8599ca2dc6e91db114a5424e