Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:37:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,222.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
15,222.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 15222 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
7,314.88 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,119.89 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x003dB63404fad47C001D75D2F00d5249b2d8A90C
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,437 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,162.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005532bF68cCD931508A2Db02F19955e022afE93
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,061.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
25,470.25 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:36:55 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
47,679.05 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:35:43 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
15,504.65 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:38:07 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
6,044.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:34:30 A.M.
+2 min
21 tx
16,394.05 QUAI • 37 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:39:20 A.M.
-4 min
25 tx
48,436.49 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:33:18 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
36,833.64 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:40:33 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate42 tx
90,093.67 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:32:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,437 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003dB63404fad47C001D75D2F00d5249b2d8A90C
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
598.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Tx: 0x005b005eab76acc6bd7f5448030e653cbe1c625930f0af20a82f509f973669fb
991.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F4dc3382E25ee9Ad4cBE107271b773Bc78aee
Tx: 0x003b003acba7ce98151f1b4b4a802711b41f9d0ca714d0309668d8cdaf95832b
3,162.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Tx: 0x001a00702489ffeeb56fe9fed572f9402a6a3cda5b302983557a83f3b035d989
170.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:30 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x004800656d9a4ae90b42d6aaae435ee162519241e287871c193cc29e068e0048
143.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x001a0015cba92107e8f6e31af294232dbb66e3ce80041499edf13df1786e7577
1,742.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003e6167f7fAF8F2596e03849Ea647889010Af90
Tx: 0x0037001b34916a48d13e8db63f228c17709a527bf05004fa3d4bcb45dd677a3f
3,061.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005532bF68cCD931508A2Db02F19955e022afE93
Tx: 0x007b0076b261f254119cca0d0f9eb23e47f6be79f24bed049267abcad7e7900c
131.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:10 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007A4d520a7eCDe384f6F3FCA494EFDB16DA54C5
Tx: 0x00570071792251ccf4573a38838ef83bde9774478ef743ae71c870bf26812aa0
297.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0051B5cDcf4f8e98c8D7BE45548C2Ca93f57a611
Tx: 0x005f0020d3cb43d6ce0198b9a1a4174908070ce9ca64ee49df5bff353edb8462
110.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:05 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00797Ef1Ef4f80d60E64E0D62c73e22789EA4355
Tx: 0x0069004df2188d463b73569588af276c22a215ab178b8a9f6a21a0f476bae894
4,437 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003dB63404fad47C001D75D2F00d5249b2d8A90C
Tx: 0x003b0055a8d78c9bb403fbf21ba9f22b324ceae3cd45b10fe1f7ad4b5697dd4a
374.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:37:05 A.M.
From: 0x0043486d89F5C5176015614d759CBe17d4F2FE16
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00360077dd0dd879e5cba7b5caf0dd96c3944d19f4c6203798d5a6760a1c9dfb
