Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:33:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,280.53
Unexplained QUAI: 41,155.96
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 16% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
0.5x previous minute
8.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
25
Observable rows
17
68.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
48,436.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003194fe59a348DD8079eE201AF40574F3F0D3CF.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 48436 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003194fe59a348DD8079eE201AF40574F3F0D3CF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,231.52 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003194fe59a348DD8079eE201AF40574F3F0D3CF
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,626.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,136.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,097.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,231.52 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
25 tx
48,436.49 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:33:18 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate42 tx
90,093.67 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:32:05 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,688.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:30:51 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
6,044.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:34:30 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
3,950.94 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:29:39 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
47,679.05 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:35:43 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
25,470.25 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:36:55 A.M.
-5 min
16 tx
18,455.78 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:28:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,136.74 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:55 A.M.
From: 0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
To: 0x003194fe59a348DD8079eE201AF40574F3F0D3CF
Tx: 0x00240062d67aa793460d5944eb2741d776a0b97557b3c5933aa03a283d52709f
1,136.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x00770016ef11fd657b498aedc489a2e26c28045eca4a62b7b6a019b860e05ad4
117.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:55 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0061BbC28fe620458393Af17D27995dEA1C3D281
Tx: 0x000a006a5bd340f5ace5cbd891ec86d7c936987322c39a025b3559cdf0246bd3
352.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Tx: 0x003f000059cb79c2beeb06f15991908c75add264b2f1ededd22186125cfb840a
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:55 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x003194fe59a348DD8079eE201AF40574F3F0D3CF
Tx: 0x004f001d8f5cc9d74df173f79532a0eb95f0ea3511b530a5f8cf7d63a1f87a66
102.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x007200673694857aa5e15c3082c32279a8595c7046ab70bd431d9c6df6062614
105.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005bf49274F6F03D3050eF26A1fe0508a2b88CE0
Tx: 0x005d0020f6a08ee3a06facf36603d74314fe9df2650bb940bda147bbd851491e
489.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Tx: 0x0054007f6c1770c8a771af4c4ca8d65482d634595770c9b96562470d4ab41e69
745.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0049De67419714Cf8f98DEF0aBe240960eD04E72
Tx: 0x0057001cfe95b678a86b7cf08c31d411530f317744d02c332a94b8032ff9a763
136.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x004da2233CD6F20Ca1379E54b4D70f2bC0d5c799
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c00079d33b088093b319de0ec20d235418db8e716969f82bfa9547ff8dcfe
502.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x004553a6d0B891091ED001f56EeC7Baf94794772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a00510ab09d6cbe7ffaa204302eea8730a1a6ce73c0189d522801e1d1db68
99.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x002CEc8C4df92b406c2A9cb6f64C5f8c510761Fe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c0030b4179a78026e240857969f7a787488ad5873a388391abdb25ab6f2d0
113.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x003d52F680f08272661A42C320831b54Ff1f21dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c00560cf45cdcbf9cb33e1546062041ba310e83551553f1838017c1dec27c
245.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x0026310f1963Bf08EaD7028ad5A4533AC987A38B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560073f4333283bb5219ad8c177f7e39eef499b4f6ce1bbb93800935387bc8
359.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c0008939361aefa504d8e7bac15ccd0605152b5f309cae2629a704ee4fab2
357.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0077005b0bc6028d9be47429585d895118a21f029af92a60a8b5dca9880170a1
416.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0038007f50ac477f15cb0a48b89ef3ce4688a4f049701f8e12c0a12f5a52d71f