Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:32:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 44,762.67
Unexplained QUAI: 45,331
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
53x previous minute
1.9x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
42
Observable rows
13
31.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
58
Asset volume
90,093.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 90094 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
43,541.13 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
9,601.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net sender
Unknown type
7,715.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
2,153.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 43,541.13 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate42 tx
90,093.67 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:32:05 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
1,688.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:30:51 A.M.
+1 min
25 tx
48,436.49 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:33:18 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
3,950.94 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:29:39 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
6,044.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:34:30 A.M.
-4 min
16 tx
18,455.78 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:28:27 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
47,679.05 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:35:43 A.M.
-5 min
27 tx
30,901.52 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
234.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x003700111d9fef05d2e548fa3b465d861fe4f2e0299f3b9cce3e17cf139f1d80
316.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0013005dadb4042c9225884f35c458fb28b853fe2236bc46ae7722ea0a1ff98d
258.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0049158ce393ecD28da4A884E51E3Ec066eAA5b5
Tx: 0x003e004a7fda6a15ac0b2012dd31afaee80ccf58abe45cb7b26ac1460fd93093
157.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005aF2683fAc9733B9F767C7ADAd7f3E0864cE0B
Tx: 0x0036002a3f314376b6634ceb631282118edddffcd2c36bd0870e87afbe48b7f5
253.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
Tx: 0x002a00520457c5e262fb22da4a7a71f8986b17a5a13108f0f7fc10f4b94ec08e
9,601.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0047F53BAA094B91B662eAf9966267Bab4f560BB
Miner wallet
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0008004b3efecbecdbec2cbc47f084b2d1a9cca034d3cbf4d4027d51bd1162f9
7,715.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b00690e86aad217130d19c06f6932c5abf1719e8dde3296e5eb69bda54c17
2,153.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0031D2b1154fcBdcdeAaDe01e512858E726942b0
Miner wallet
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020000c006fc1bf0315fdcc90cb3b17667ccf7595106f4f390c0e722701576b
1,153.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003200372d45325029def0f24096ccf4620bd4956f44373f9588bfe63eb1c41b
19,998.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063006866862683ea23b63be56e29eafac8496911a3665984d4ddd0f3dc5641
663.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f00270fdc32c8ac66adabd27c6bbcf69a408954d1a3a970bcd9cc0ace2fa0
806.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0054170bec6c3994f21af3067280a22d409d06a1f9a1bd7be2e61af2c155
1,449.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x003Fc750316A263F7b636B409C5338072Ca46e70
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b00262db8fdeb1d4d788c1fae415bcda4aaa695b2a3faa72c55c7e6fc4ce7
