Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:29:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,021.56
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
3,950.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x003Fc750316A263F7b636B409C5338072Ca46e70.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3951 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x003Fc750316A263F7b636B409C5338072Ca46e70.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,639.6 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003Fc750316A263F7b636B409C5338072Ca46e70
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,449.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,353.95 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0032eA9aDB717D77F224f20d292A7e76E4df3E71
Net receiver
Unknown type
996.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
716.06 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
16 tx
18,455.78 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:28:27 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
3,950.94 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:29:39 A.M.
-2 min
27 tx
30,901.52 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,688.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:30:51 A.M.
-3 min
16 tx
49,475.89 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:25:59 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate42 tx
90,093.67 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:32:05 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
17,137.84 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:24:47 A.M.
+4 min
25 tx
48,436.49 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:33:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,449.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:29:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003Fc750316A263F7b636B409C5338072Ca46e70
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
189.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x00440031e5a602bf943dd8d4daf72b45e96161eb1ad1abea337366a01f2becef
503.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004553a6d0B891091ED001f56EeC7Baf94794772
Tx: 0x003a007ff27a34c8ee8ac931b94f8f5a8d8f2415234506585251bc8f709ab178
996.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0032eA9aDB717D77F224f20d292A7e76E4df3E71
Tx: 0x0050005f8187425f1a61df0e2d1ebc89a295bc1e286e0944f46420a26597ce35
155.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:29:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x002a00297db69555947aa36dce6bc60cea149a33085a940cc9dfcaf0dd9e16e7
156.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:29:31 A.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0056003e7519c596e5ce652241c095ad02b47ea9b0826f50900fd4ef2e294000
213.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:29:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00435796ae6f0a075E49765f46471e8fc475E5Bd
Tx: 0x001700256749a8665c1fcc3c02f925d4c8b5449098c960ec7dfc6e0500657fa4
1,449.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:29:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003Fc750316A263F7b636B409C5338072Ca46e70
Tx: 0x002b00282e21e167a90c8e223680d2f5c6fa116d77fbf0fb0e1d005b1064881d
357.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:29:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
Tx: 0x0058007a2765f69896c1a554d4c7e3eb6dc7f2bca2cc68e839253af589e77aac
