Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:28:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,794.41
Unexplained QUAI: 11,661.37
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.6x previous minute
4.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
13
81.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
18,455.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 18456 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,891.44 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,893.72 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,629.48 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,306.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031E81c0896ea730C55dE1ae6a882C688c0E4E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,044.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
16 tx
18,455.78 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:28:27 A.M.
-1 min
27 tx
30,901.52 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
49,475.89 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:25:59 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
3,950.94 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:29:39 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
17,137.84 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:24:47 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,688.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:30:51 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
7,154.72 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:23:34 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate42 tx
90,093.67 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:32:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,306.99 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
114.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:27 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003d52F680f08272661A42C320831b54Ff1f21dd
Tx: 0x0063005a55b7dd42bb126a69ad8f32b984bd99c010bb64ff64d40605f519db0c
1,306.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
Tx: 0x0001000ee244687c047a7006c8ac8d3d2d2f55cd245ddbed099d24766ff533ae
196.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003FbeBABE706A63091341247DB77adEAb5f44c6
Tx: 0x0028003a080e66490502fd4af7f6b5bf274965be93e64b01f43bda8ac6ce2f82
733.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Tx: 0x0008002b215a7cef3819b3f4ed1e93f6b16008abad2ccb89a4553f8573d1bb79
1,044.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0031E81c0896ea730C55dE1ae6a882C688c0E4E1
Tx: 0x001e005590c6b7c3a3ec477429c5f7cb7f4b9eb405df98a140cc1bf37ea4869f
417.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:22 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x004e0002f1c409bc4819c490e44f6f85dd83baca230a1bc170bb69cbcb8075ab
664.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Tx: 0x005600299166d292752e235113dfe11510c3482d92daa0d72e982d5cfcb51ef4
106.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
Tx: 0x003a007839eb0d8ffa338e990076e241caa62d23b5361825a9b2d730679ad09d
179.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Tx: 0x000a000d35c96baa4854956cebacae82852a44268fc7866390a482b15c647b6c
379.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:07 A.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0038007e294ed5dd6d327aa345632df43d5c6aa410b78071bde1b44be1cdbccf
360.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x003d00655043915611444df3404e0580f092041fd07f367d03e2a5f6bbad2fda
299.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x0046001d46ed7c94c14d88935fb39f6b7a4ff641a4fbd6c0c5b09ed6b3f91f87
991.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:28:07 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341
Tx: 0x00170047597f78e7d246c9688e3e5f9a7476005b2f0fbbe426d41a620352ea66
