Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:24:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,265.9
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
10
76.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
17,137.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 17138 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
13,889.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,116.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,765.03 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,192.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,081.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
7,154.72 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:23:34 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
17,137.84 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:24:47 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
9,782.72 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:22:22 A.M.
+2 min
16 tx
49,475.89 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:25:59 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate16 tx
51,652.52 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:21:09 A.M.
+3 min
27 tx
30,901.52 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
5,231.59 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:19:56 A.M.
+4 min
16 tx
18,455.78 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:28:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
11,116.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
2,192.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
Tx: 0x0019002dc391d6bf2d89566992a2247bd81ee5c0fc9285c4fe0efa2feb4668e8
137.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:53 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001c5EacaeE11c6C62251271fb84844166202e57
Tx: 0x006200406ab7a75fb217d32bc4f077e8b2149e99d6ce6296d289fb1256b4079f
606.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x0051007234e86ff6a714eed9649d3dc17ea246081344cc404018486db0bd092e
1,077.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024410419bDd1Fb06f22Dc7eA09fcBeE2fA2FE6
Tx: 0x00200054530ce3373acff341cf188310cd45c1750907eeda51066c6d390b3fe3
11,116.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
Tx: 0x0067005188d2fe845afb54c19baa8fee98031b2d0113202999a01f94b0baa261
159.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001959127B1297f6bE9BD34a157Bb060aC7964D2
Tx: 0x001c00784ec5b6e884561ec3cf25d0494d411fe6dc524911d27ee3f626ba235e
113.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:30 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001893cb15B0bC475a3D3736809902c8aF360fC6
Tx: 0x004600723019ea0855c2af0e738305ae0d601316f78a4fb7ecef86549899cf10
1,081.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
Tx: 0x004600124d43a279fd57be5e5f7a0dd7c01c46191f2849ef71bf0e8cfac9995b
580.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x0060007d326e23398096dbf496dd6b90b217ea6b6b860366d84ac25884194281
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:24:30 A.M.
From: 0x001E0202556b02233d4FE75ed479718D059d1aA5
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00500059eb35e246a7f18b819ab45ef67c3bd3180aa11a5c740554a15d0042fa
