Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:22:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,851.37
Unexplained QUAI: 6,931.35
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
8
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
9,782.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 9783 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,432.95 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
670.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Net receiver
Unknown type
530.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
426.35 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
9,782.72 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:22:22 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate16 tx
51,652.52 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:21:09 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
5,231.59 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:19:56 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
7,154.72 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:23:34 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,084.04 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:18:43 A.M.
+3 min
13 tx
17,137.84 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:24:47 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
19,179.92 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:17:31 A.M.
+4 min
16 tx
49,475.89 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:25:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,300 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:22:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
530.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:22:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x000a002b791f8c0b625e6bdc061deed56e14a9e41ba257a31e4d31642b43f2b0
296.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:22:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Tx: 0x000700603767fcc8f0bc9b1c0ab9ec51615ec20ce014e933f37a0d2797931387
143.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:22:49 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00134d83cDb40d6CbEbAd441729BF1C9D7B98FF5
Tx: 0x007f005654dbc14c5ec93e87d85c78b1b3fb6242859e413e858a92d739c067d1
132.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:22:16 A.M.
From: 0x004EB8436C10A227d348395647D4164aAA1bF807
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0003005b4cf448c6070b9647bb9f6eff6779ada531a38d1ffaeafc4bf4759e81
178.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:22:16 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x002c006bdf8214270a595d25aa11909a3cec339e43915bd6d8697028a345e7be
139.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:22:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B72C33a5C7cFa448223c657b1ec0Bb181C23A
Tx: 0x0070003cb9fe049b31c8360553ff9369358d1e595acb34aa4fb9703a8d638184
129.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:22:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0029512E1E10E66bd91AE821A1B6B06B1890F1D4
Tx: 0x00480070e2191c7e52fc1d6fe109739e477ba4ef410810999bb594beb9bdfb40
1,300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:22:16 A.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00260075bfefb5b7bfc0cb4bca46030b8c243c8f05d890a5493fcfe1948e8190