Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:21:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,902.87
Unexplained QUAI: 43,749.65
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
9.9x previous minute
5.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
9
56.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
51,652.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 51653 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
5,308.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,308.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,573.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
496.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 5,308.79 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate16 tx
51,652.52 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:21:09 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
5,231.59 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:19:56 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
9,782.72 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:22:22 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
2,084.04 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:18:43 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
19,179.92 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:17:31 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
7,154.72 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:23:34 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
17,137.84 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:24:47 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
6,016.42 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:16:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,308.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
186 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00289CF4F6fEA7E8779cA1c316a844773C07A208
Tx: 0x007e0005405167ea7df2bb78a9e22e54beab2a848eac2d368caf682d7bbef265
370.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x00100077489268b3bdbc80acb3ca954313257214297551f1840861c85d19ea2f
116.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0015003e8dbaca0ff3db471ea5d6074e1ed41b9e8790e257326702302279d86c
273.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:34 A.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x002c00127c82c303840f7c618ca6850863c27e6c1d44a2d5f133ae9b9d6fefce
117.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x0073003447a616898a20b67b51a42bb6a2d5108daaf55e6e2a4482d2b674d26c
126.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0019E7335eeaFA078cE009813473919390AcfF96
Tx: 0x0030005feea268491e308f26fc856f323f62d9e4979558091bb20ff1e24f32de
103.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:34 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000f793D7F6E29b46c41843417F56125F0c1c6be
Tx: 0x00500061718f951dc0d4956dc907fc4f90c4bc6748d3e7100a58cdb82cac52ae
5,308.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:34 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984
Tx: 0x000200085a03d72b96f9a88895a59cd3f5a302d185d81397697b8f9b342c35f9
1,300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:21:34 A.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00350052ccc6a35252324aa3f610bd97cf706cc8d25536841c2034a9df8fd543