Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:17:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
32% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,163.78
Unexplained QUAI: 13,016.14
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
3.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
12
92.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
19,179.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 19180 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,761.74 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,312.51 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,517.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,089.54 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Net receiver
Unknown type
923.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
6,016.42 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:16:19 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
19,179.92 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:17:31 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
16,762.11 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:15:06 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
2,084.04 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:18:43 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
36,461.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:13:54 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
5,231.59 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:19:56 A.M.
-4 min
14 tx
36,127.27 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:12:42 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate16 tx
51,652.52 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:21:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,517.74 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
686.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x0022006739b0353ffcd8604a105510cde81eaac960c77227b1d464d16e8605c4
108.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00203162abaf1b657E37471068F3789F115a9817
Tx: 0x007b007944afbc9d73e258735133531cc3fec8767410831e06864432f7061aac
259.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:41 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0008CE4fAfC03955D640E98f9ad27DF0eBf43331
Tx: 0x000b0073eca0e24fdf6b06c4262b92e91b63864be106e95a8685c40b5dd1565f
208.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001f50c156270c0306E4F2d410327E98B334429c
Tx: 0x0061005f3032f5fd740e5ec53b1dc0c5d6d872d8e7be9fc9a1a949b9e3a05a61
523.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Tx: 0x0055006dbaa9032a661f9586c6a08050b690c8488e754015d69d51d6f3e26b85
296.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:36 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Tx: 0x005b004484faa10751cde52cf03b766797803c23373a61274c1d7834e4ba6d6b
1,517.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Tx: 0x00190038e43758baf765254c1f0f6349636ddf50d2703a19c1afdfe4d2fea264
165.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:21 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00082Dda7A19f1c4e423A4F6ceC2405965f3da88
Tx: 0x000b000e3c4d7c5e71e81d9624c8bbfc7dd930dba1d318e8ff195aaf7315622c
923.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Tx: 0x0078001300c287006a40c04ab58ea7af74b4fc7437cb63f658aedc9c6d03d2b6
367.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:13 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0005720d8a71952b975908C4F65ec78fff89869A
Tx: 0x0059000fa21181b9fb2ac928022dd0a352348bb3e2c338ff360c07479af260a0
628.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0012aCB04cf313559cE86E8378458619c8f7Bc49
Tx: 0x00710015349b9e28af5d8b2b9a25094b11a06b03a136c5621cdae90e1cd43e8a
477.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:17:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001C7D0B0d2d77c169427df878DC30fcAAE55E4F
Tx: 0x000e006d111d2b7a7209e3ff1f9dd6417c6a653a1b15c3005790db62bf354073
