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Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 2:15:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,016.42
Unexplained QUAI: 10,745.7
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
2.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
4
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
16,762.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 16762 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,937.59 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,371.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,078.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0018530005Ed21fa8787f9b5C2552944Bba0e81c
Net receiver
Unknown type
789.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Net receiver
Unknown type
565.67 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 16. The remaining 12 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

4,371.92 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:15:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
289.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:15:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018cc7b7B0EfF11a184409F79ed89510FF1Fc0d
Tx: 0x002a00032d4c131bf6d5939a83e8a57445e3524c8c7ec6c70e893f32c05cc205
Open txWallet profile
565.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:15:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x007f005fba31d35a2c6a0277ed3cd3e2ca62f626624771ff102607f1b6828350
Open txWallet profile
4,371.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:15:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x003b0006417c4d79161247527672548eec7ba011b67fe7ada86c448201cc08a2
Open txWallet profile
789.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:15:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018530005Ed21fa8787f9b5C2552944Bba0e81c
Tx: 0x007300123334c402f2fbd028e7c52a331199553d5ce472066a797bc201fa3e91
Open txWallet profile