Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:08:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,472.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
5.7x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
5,472.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0043B80AdF5410d745d52502ad913EaaB74326C9 • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 5473 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0043B80AdF5410d745d52502ad913EaaB74326C9 • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 -> 0x0043B80AdF5410d745d52502ad913EaaB74326C9 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0043B80AdF5410d745d52502ad913EaaB74326C9
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,005 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,107.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,107.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 → 0x0043B80AdF5410d745d52502ad913EaaB74326C9
2 repeated flows • 2,000 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 467.25 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
29,994.68 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:07:50 A.M.
-1 min
54 tx
963.89 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:06:38 A.M.
+1 min
67 tx
9,123.67 QUAI • 84 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:09:03 A.M.
+2 min
23 tx
8,330.96 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:10:17 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,739.06 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:05:26 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
6,589.57 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:11:29 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
4,008.19 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:04:14 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
98.24 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:03:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,107.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
To: 0x0043B80AdF5410d745d52502ad913EaaB74326C9
Tx: 0x000c0032df255719123e6c7b79cb088e9922bb8b585a14b9eb4ff511203d9e12
336.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x001b6762fD550Ab68832ebd19D78966236D6bbC0
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0000002523453fa1546e072ebc9ab7b3adca4096dc7391ef359ca1f2f47ef409
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0043B80AdF5410d745d52502ad913EaaB74326C9
Tx: 0x001b0021f7136709e2ba34348a62a3a5c4af2fed88d39bc5f375a65c95a0e732
556.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00049a00891BDcD33305a535A34051F1aCcE5b10
Tx: 0x003000728706674a9248b3b84956fbc6a5c940a67244eed96ebb9817dea91491
1,107.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Tx: 0x00780027ebd26a1d363831e5ebddb0ef442a5ca6249a14c96cd3b257b2c950d9
100.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0070003a5602d9267169834e413a28d9c3affad2e3438a11e4d06cd9a02cd5d8
264.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x00735F0fa34E443ca47d6caF72A454e43Ff4d0e4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061002fb5c97c1694861ca4b8d92710361fb0725699d60aacf90c4217a317ab
102.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00630020ebfe02f08046e2ffeb336b636d56f51af109e8ff983d76eb19e700ef
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0043B80AdF5410d745d52502ad913EaaB74326C9
Tx: 0x0041005e1c8b0ca722d48456fdc6806fb2d467c8ece47f258008a4c3c29b7f49
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:08:52 A.M.
From: 0x007679565fB32503c0cC99144d05164ba4969B09
To: 0x0043B80AdF5410d745d52502ad913EaaB74326C9
Tx: 0x0077007da2688429cd7b2fd7d42345fe7c274d950f676f33b50068f13d209eb6