Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:04:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,525
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
41x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
4,008.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0043707c5D3DaC6a55a01Ed3490fED0568E7B4B9 • 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 4008 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0043707c5D3DaC6a55a01Ed3490fED0568E7B4B9 • 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0043707c5D3DaC6a55a01Ed3490fED0568E7B4B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,525 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
4,008.19 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:04:14 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
98.24 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:03:01 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,739.06 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:05:26 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:01:49 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:00:37 A.M.
+3 min
54 tx
963.89 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:06:38 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
29,994.68 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:07:50 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
20,999.06 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:59:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0043707c5D3DaC6a55a01Ed3490fED0568E7B4B9
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:48 A.M.
From: 0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00370042e20193ad9ea95a90998e3b466a38eb4367cc25316569846ec944bf91
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:48 A.M.
From: 0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
To: 0x0043707c5D3DaC6a55a01Ed3490fED0568E7B4B9
Tx: 0x00790022b9dc8970b88bdc91a234809d15655d788fc51288398ab47913ba6ea3
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:48 A.M.
From: 0x0002A68FFE3a43350E0B3c05781C655E6d04Fa0d
To: 0x0043707c5D3DaC6a55a01Ed3490fED0568E7B4B9
Tx: 0x001f002243aa4a70bc5ca25777db159ad47088f319e30c3470e2358aabe7a869
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:10 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0043707c5D3DaC6a55a01Ed3490fED0568E7B4B9
Tx: 0x000e007c3687446b98ea7ac28bfc85e11ef82a4708be4841dec1865a133213db
1,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:10 A.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0043707c5D3DaC6a55a01Ed3490fED0568E7B4B9
Tx: 0x0066000c108d5cdd43acb69a8f2f215c7fecc8f15313ec19464bc35f075c596e
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:04:03 A.M.
From: 0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984
To: 0x00733435f9f072A1F46b06760fC44FFcF6C8fc4c
Tx: 0x0046000da353769254ccc6296ede0f1418e985aece98deadca03b3787978cf6a