Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 1:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 1:55:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 1:56:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
59% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 501.49
Unexplained QUAI: 350
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
851.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B • 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 851 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B • 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 1:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
Net sender
Unknown type
301.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
301.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004502888bA406fF5Ea5fDb2f43d8471f1751D68
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
29,994.46 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:54:34 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
851.49 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:55:47 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,750 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:53:22 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:56:58 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,307.28 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:52:10 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
509.6 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:58:11 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
2,112.59 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:50:57 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
20,999.06 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:59:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
301.49 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:55:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:55:45 A.M.
From: 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
To: 0x004502888bA406fF5Ea5fDb2f43d8471f1751D68
Tx: 0x002a007a36ad68422a9e652ea81a3a909f67bf6a58b37074a392fc5c3e064667
301.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:55:04 A.M.
From: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0006004b8d4f4e83b3b7175e6e1fbd92916b8557407c06f3088d714e12dc96da