Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 1:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 1:53:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 1:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 500
Unexplained QUAI: 1,250
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.3x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1,750 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x004502888bA406fF5Ea5fDb2f43d8471f1751D68.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1750 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x004502888bA406fF5Ea5fDb2f43d8471f1751D68.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 1:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004502888bA406fF5Ea5fDb2f43d8471f1751D68
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,750 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:53:22 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,307.28 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:52:10 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
2,112.59 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:50:57 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
29,994.46 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:54:34 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:49:46 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
851.49 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:55:47 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate6 tx
33,042.45 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:48:34 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 1:56:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:53:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004502888bA406fF5Ea5fDb2f43d8471f1751D68
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 1:53:14 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004502888bA406fF5Ea5fDb2f43d8471f1751D68
Tx: 0x007d0048cd76f9ff71569e654aafe497a789dcc8768182feda09507c506a633c