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Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 12:57:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 12:57:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 868.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
3.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
868.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 868 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
868.26 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
Net sender
Unknown type
384.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
Net sender
Unknown type
356.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00332870c994AEb3eA1C18548Afc6E3B2Ce5ba19
Net sender
Unknown type
127.43 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

384.05 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:57:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
127.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:57:22 A.M.
From: 0x00332870c994AEb3eA1C18548Afc6E3B2Ce5ba19
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x002c00371cf7bbd77288fd1f17667d0d7f8914979cb9b7652b5784e6b0aad5e8
384.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:57:22 A.M.
From: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x003f005dfdd62b4c3e2a74db719cabefb882f14a3793f72aa6c103634883c658
356.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:57:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0021000d7c5c86817cb77e6e11e7673d05a24cbde644231e18f56e55ea28c679