Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:49:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:50:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25
Unexplained QUAI: 30,610.09
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
145x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
1
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
30,635.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 30635 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
Net sender
Unknown type
25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
375 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:48:32 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
30,635.09 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:49:44 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
211.06 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:47:20 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
29,165.49 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:50:55 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:46:08 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:52:07 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
250 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:44:57 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
500 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:53:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
25 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:49:36 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:49:36 A.M.
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x007300407ba3abd4fda96bc7542f319a727152312a50604e068c5335e6ae8813
