Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:24:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:25:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,091.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
379.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 380 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
881.63 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
Net sender
Unknown type
383.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001b6762fD550Ab68832ebd19D78966236D6bbC0
Net sender
Unknown type
364.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
210 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018a8d6a50798CCF33dBAfd632Bd4f3B0f44E96
Net receiver
Unknown type
210 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:23:21 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
379.94 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:24:33 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
3.89 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:22:10 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
1,091.63 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:25:45 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
296.4 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:20:58 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:26:57 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:19:46 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,349.1 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:28:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
383.98 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:24:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
133.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:24:39 A.M.
From: 0x000c8308d773d8eD0de56421fB16fFd971214B8B
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0057001e0a2b63dee128e8c0e6d5cd0db9fc6ec2e6cce8376daad19997713ac2
383.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:24:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00660070e10caa145f057246347a6f11a01fd0d804c9d5465b8afee9ad7710c4
364.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:24:39 A.M.
From: 0x001b6762fD550Ab68832ebd19D78966236D6bbC0
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00730044cbcdd54587f7713cf31988bc3cefd6f870a239f68c284de525d02036
210 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:24:39 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0018a8d6a50798CCF33dBAfd632Bd4f3B0f44E96
Tx: 0x0053003ed5c15d833bc52eb2257cb13d176fd0f70dae7c0b0f8bf65b79598a24