Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:17:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 438.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
253.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 254 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
438.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
Net sender
Unknown type
227.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001b6762fD550Ab68832ebd19D78966236D6bbC0
Net sender
Unknown type
211.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
253.86 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:17:22 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
1,408.24 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:16:10 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
208.82 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:14:59 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
440.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:18:34 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:13:47 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:19:46 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
581.73 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:12:35 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
296.4 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:20:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
227.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
211.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:56 A.M.
From: 0x001b6762fD550Ab68832ebd19D78966236D6bbC0
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0036002d63fa198de92cd52ea18e927e0d552ba02db56a1b1e79b48c87382172
227.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:17:25 A.M.
From: 0x00361bbD79076A664D9881F442525B6A822c9758
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x005000032472d721ce3bd7ead672e80c77a9f299622578847d36d1b9299c71b8
