Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:15:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,408.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
1,408.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1408 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,189.26 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
Net sender
Unknown type
679.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
Net sender
Unknown type
218.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
218.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
105.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,189.26 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
208.82 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:14:59 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:13:47 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
1,408.24 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:16:10 A.M.
-2 min
11 tx
581.73 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:12:35 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
253.86 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:17:22 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
50.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:11:23 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
440.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:18:34 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate53 tx
2,166.45 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:10:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
679.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:15:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
218.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x003f00283510618558b6d7845ad89f38af30fba6c7fe014cca22a0e1c17ff8cc
105.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062003c1e109a8d7668119f1e5174c381e953a30c73538237ee8b30bd38b896
100.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00370058e8ca50aeddbde33109cfc287451be3aac30ad023c65a7fe0e5d73059
101.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00670070a60148311bd3419389232f78602c9245255edfd3d69a8a7445186663
679.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d0020a9a3088785ececcb3da662e9e6b6f379b4c5ecd2228498f93077e474
102.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x000d41f12BDC966B133AbDe47Ac1d733Cbbcaf10
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002000381aeee5249432fdcd6a99d07b4bd9852cb1706c8e758ffdaaeed95e89
99.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:15:02 A.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0069004c65bbaf5f2e9279c207d774472cbc504307945fb25765c842134d5273