Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 12:10:00 A.M. to 09/22/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50.17
Unexplained QUAI: 2,116.28
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
43x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
3
5.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
70
Asset volume
2,166.45 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 2166 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.17 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
18.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052F11c00efF8FadEC13860504a386E372a0897
Net sender
Unknown type
17.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
14.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate53 tx
2,166.45 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:10:10 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:08:58 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
50.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:11:23 A.M.
-2 min
51 tx
882.28 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:07:46 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
325.92 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:06:33 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
581.73 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:12:35 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:13:47 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
302.62 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 12:05:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
18.25 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:10:52 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
17.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:10:52 A.M.
From: 0x0052F11c00efF8FadEC13860504a386E372a0897
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005400060200f4c050f3dcdc7357cd838874a0860062bc9609fb66d55f3eaab4
14.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:10:52 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0032005ec85367e27e7135afcacebf0abbfce54fb83194dbc02121067f68f63f
18.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 12:10:52 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c001cf6dffaea7cd97a83c5320dc40c25ae58d80bb4750441b019d22526a3