Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:56:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:56:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:57:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,152.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
139x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
45,152.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 45152 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:56:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
25,153.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
5,154.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 25,153.25 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,999.04 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:55:45 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
325.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:54:33 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
45,152.29 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:56:57 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
21 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:58:09 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
4,878.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:53:21 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:59:21 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
14,800.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:52:09 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
3,040 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:50:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:56:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5,154.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:56:40 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0039007b9b070e2e8b638ae657d1f15571a6a6839f4fd753d37ab1ca3a0ac6b0
19,998.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:56:40 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048001220c032efe167c12324653669f1895ac15c4434c6d7755e5789d1212d
19,999.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:56:33 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0042000c0345dbe8874170daee416d709edebd65f903f1770eb53f2aee13fb33