Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:52:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:52:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:53:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,878.32
Unexplained QUAI: 9,921.84
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
4.9x previous minute
3.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
14,800.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 14800 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:52:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,878.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,830.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
14,800.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:52:09 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
3,040 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:50:57 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
4,878.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:53:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:49:45 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
21,506.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:48:33 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
325.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:54:33 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
19,999.04 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:55:45 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
7,201.33 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:47:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,830.02 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:52:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
4,830.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:52:57 P.M.
From: 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x003b00772b5ec4f73086b422da4fe3f74de9a47331d881fe59c58ba0fe8f5c2d
48.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:52:57 P.M.
From: 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x00380000b11151a920580bfda77de999bda9e93b18b6fb5e3c6869baa3a950c4