Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:48:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,107.49
Unexplained QUAI: 14,399.45
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 76% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
3.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
5
83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
21,506.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 21507 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
7,037.12 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,389.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4
Net receiver
Unknown type
572.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00086d2B709bA446b893d2757D99A431F4cB55E0
Net receiver
Unknown type
545.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031fd3A6493fd46e3747acB2B42903147C487b1
Net receiver
Unknown type
528.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
7,201.33 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:47:20 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
21,506.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:48:33 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1,119 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:46:08 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:49:45 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
17,204.75 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:44:56 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
3,040 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:50:57 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,437.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:43:44 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
14,800.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:52:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,389.49 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:48:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
70.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:48:05 P.M.
From: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0055006e44a1d8d0ec911b5a5ac8d1f2fccdf1832cea7eae7848f95062cc0bae
528.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0031fd3A6493fd46e3747acB2B42903147C487b1
Tx: 0x0044002f92aede1ff8815e008598aad11695a5913779ec877288c1a0ed7f43d8
572.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00198480AE8e67B3f0D5109fEC8E95646bc378e4
Tx: 0x007a0063df556e24d9d8008661cb816a31a683243f2e5ce902ec9e6a8c6a333e
5,389.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
Tx: 0x007d0076d617c3b91ac2e97173830a8b59a13c6d6ec015f3c61ade6f420100e2
545.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00086d2B709bA446b893d2757D99A431F4cB55E0
Tx: 0x001a003c2f7195c9eaf3d6c5a7a5e1ef37a686ad5462e916b987fc633356bb7f