Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:43:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,686.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1,437.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1438 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
3,363.45 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,229.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Net receiver
Unknown type
568.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0023B74ceaA5931892c06bdcc5949C468Bf9BD5f
Net receiver
Unknown type
565.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
Net sender
Unknown type
322.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F
2 repeated flows • 2,229.65 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
3,928.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:42:32 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,437.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:43:44 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
7,474.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:41:20 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
17,204.75 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:44:56 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
566.25 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:40:08 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,119 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:46:08 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate11 tx
24,986.65 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
7,201.33 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:47:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,114.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:43:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,114.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:43:57 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F
Tx: 0x0048003c36431f86762ca63c91d1e80264d8d1f5ea7db60726f5e1262f76a657
568.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:43:46 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Tx: 0x005b006b970378ee58c1fbb2ef082797fe5ada930787b3bd72822444dbb358ad
565.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:43:46 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0023B74ceaA5931892c06bdcc5949C468Bf9BD5f
Tx: 0x00190047acb414aa40476a193d3136cc32c3af706843b53ea1caef8a817c943c
322.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:43:27 P.M.
From: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x007e0049f51f7baf395f757806d13d8d46684635b1c097e6354adb293eee6209
1,114.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:43:27 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0023ACA71bE5F45dC9098690D3d052AA83D4CE4F
Tx: 0x00300036823d61e3cf7c968f5bdd1bb9623415f70bfce250921423598e83d862