Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:41:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:42:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
23% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,700.69
Unexplained QUAI: 5,773.47
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
13x previous minute
1.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
7,474.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 7474 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,700.69 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,135.08 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0023B74ceaA5931892c06bdcc5949C468Bf9BD5f
Net receiver
Unknown type
565.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
2 repeated flows • 1,135.08 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
7,474.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:41:20 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
566.25 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:40:08 P.M.
-2 min
11 tx
24,986.65 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
3,928.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:42:32 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate8 tx
31,779.78 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:37:43 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,437.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:43:44 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
3,763.73 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:36:31 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
17,204.75 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:44:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
568.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:41:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
566.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:41:33 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Tx: 0x00760077fee3bb6799a206106f0c3d1ffdaaa7f6e802ef0bf52f35b214625771
565.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:41:23 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0023B74ceaA5931892c06bdcc5949C468Bf9BD5f
Tx: 0x005a0027d00069e1b05908404ed2265b70fecb8dd8bb09dfe21004267cc68401
568.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Tx: 0x00590037dd66797328ff753e4d9123a287cfb8b2019bcdcb986405834d3ba42d