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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 11:38:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24,986.65
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
6.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
24,986.65 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24987 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,786.27 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
14,435.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
2,822.52 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
1,905.28 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
3 repeated flows • 1,690.01 QUAI
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x002c9e7177eBdF94986A46fdB13Dd59145eDB5b2
2 repeated flows • 1,132.5 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,786.27 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

14,435.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

11 transactions
377.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:50 P.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x003000640338e0efbbe65deaf9a6e931b9d51dbceb20c517a374681037746488
566.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:50 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Tx: 0x00240012bbcfcf6795f4ff61a3a8a70de9ebfb6989886c70c998697694d0abec
566.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:50 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002c9e7177eBdF94986A46fdB13Dd59145eDB5b2
Tx: 0x001f0079a0ae92cab4612de9493ca237db439e72a800f3639561b3cd90966e85
4,999.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:33 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d0051da58ebb218189ad5433c71bbceda09351298a6270831c69bcf1c49f6
Open txWallet profile
208.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:33 P.M.
From: 0x0002C927952814a83f769805E0ac347879e5f760
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e0049a1312b2d977b67ac848e19b1f7c81187359a4cbf4de9b36122798ee2
Open txWallet profile
1,905.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:33 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042001376dd0c86a6f662418f085e4a603cf67ad9e4aa5161e80fb5b3ab658a
Open txWallet profile
237.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:33 P.M.
From: 0x00509B7D0FF19eb42eCa5FCFF12fD3566b93eE7F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007300455fd79929ba476fbc6be51bd1f3800c4c1e9f14dbae0adbdb5ccf64a3
Open txWallet profile
14,435.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:33 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660025445df153ad736102b204bccffb88757eea05a3c1985a829ece0b976a
Open txWallet profile
568.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:16 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Tx: 0x005f006ce54c657237a380d2f1642dc6a8beb1407c8dce13e1a589ff9fb8cbd9
566.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:07 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002c9e7177eBdF94986A46fdB13Dd59145eDB5b2
Tx: 0x0071001a358ce87781de5424ea799e2ee4ae0ec41e8dc82575dea43e8d4fdfc4
554.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:38:07 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Tx: 0x00250062f37b21c35a4e8b2e5dcf7ceb10592f0ba3f5ef218621c423852f68ab