Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:37:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
49% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,466.89
Unexplained QUAI: 16,312.89
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
4.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
3
37.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
31,779.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002999AB1cA90775CF4922186e51bc95b20eA61E • 0x002a93746C7131AFdAeA77cbf7933858cB211C49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 31780 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002999AB1cA90775CF4922186e51bc95b20eA61E • 0x002a93746C7131AFdAeA77cbf7933858cB211C49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002999AB1cA90775CF4922186e51bc95b20eA61E
Net sender
Unknown type
14,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a93746C7131AFdAeA77cbf7933858cB211C49
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
566.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Net receiver
Unknown type
566.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00519d65C0C3c43a950a052A7217aD63c303edd0
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
3,763.73 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:36:31 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
31,779.78 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:37:43 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
7,206.67 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:35:19 P.M.
+2 min
11 tx
24,986.65 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
-3 min
12 tx
12,603.27 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:34:07 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
566.25 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:40:08 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
7,224.23 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:32:54 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
7,474.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:41:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,400 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:37:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002999AB1cA90775CF4922186e51bc95b20eA61E
To: 0x002a93746C7131AFdAeA77cbf7933858cB211C49
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:37:31 P.M.
From: 0x00519d65C0C3c43a950a052A7217aD63c303edd0
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00100003004e100c8f72c7d0e56b13b60aa751d71c654af99c4c7933d1caa2b8
566.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:37:31 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Tx: 0x007d0051829986284707d8fe9d7796263db6057356fddc782bfa53ffc973cde3
14,400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:37:31 P.M.
From: 0x002999AB1cA90775CF4922186e51bc95b20eA61E
To: 0x002a93746C7131AFdAeA77cbf7933858cB211C49
Tx: 0x003c00059293018ff35026dca3db52573c017bf34929a270e76ca14a0433b6cd