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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 11:36:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 11:36:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,812.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
3,763.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3764 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
0x00519d65C0C3c43a950a052A7217aD63c303edd0 -> 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net sender
Unknown type
14,436.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,436.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,243 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,133.14 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00519d65C0C3c43a950a052A7217aD63c303edd0
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x00519d65C0C3c43a950a052A7217aD63c303edd0 → 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
2 repeated flows • 1,000 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

14,436.75 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:36:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
243 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:36:37 P.M.
From: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00530033d69c3c38aef8cc66f5693d7beeaed667553a4aee57c51ca2cc92498c
14,436.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:36:37 P.M.
From: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x0021005928620b6cf38ec6596c6151465dd691b6fbd808e9ee0b0f3391f2f408
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:36:37 P.M.
From: 0x00519d65C0C3c43a950a052A7217aD63c303edd0
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0046002377f4283df03832606e6edf1ea362b4afa91d29d9647c9308802e1588
Open txWallet profile
566.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:36:37 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002c9e7177eBdF94986A46fdB13Dd59145eDB5b2
Tx: 0x0051006d6a7cc4e10e4dfb8a73350ee6813632dcd56a5661ed4e0f819fd31e17
566.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:36:37 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018a19a9eB4fbbaEF7affC95bB86D1529B6899c
Tx: 0x00730075d991507c0e5b5cff6235900ae3c906b1ac3a7f35605c99e3f5f2d469
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:36:04 P.M.
From: 0x00519d65C0C3c43a950a052A7217aD63c303edd0
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0027003576cade875772570cd2fc49503a3e1d1d0711f9b907142ed630c6f4e1
Open txWallet profile
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:36:04 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00370024f3071dd999b7d6fb9e6adb64357d3281ce673b45382fc8aeea17ce57