Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:30:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:31:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
78% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,765.56
Unexplained QUAI: 495.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
2,261.17 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0057c29C746235873b2F8936E7f9ff0580239844.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 2261 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0057c29C746235873b2F8936E7f9ff0580239844.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0057c29C746235873b2F8936E7f9ff0580239844 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (22% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,696.19 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0057c29C746235873b2F8936E7f9ff0580239844
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,131.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005707da0D5fCFbAE76920Dc029cB484f461f523
Net receiver
Unknown type
564.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
69.36 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
43.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0057c29C746235873b2F8936E7f9ff0580239844
2 repeated flows • 1,131.22 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
1,130.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:29:19 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,261.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:30:31 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate8 tx
18,048.63 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:28:07 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,199.95 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:31:43 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,355.48 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:26:54 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
7,224.23 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:32:54 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,354.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:25:43 P.M.
+4 min
12 tx
12,603.27 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:34:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
565.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:30:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0057c29C746235873b2F8936E7f9ff0580239844
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
565.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:30:45 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0057c29C746235873b2F8936E7f9ff0580239844
Tx: 0x0056003426dab484144b77d9d5dbd5fd3a480cd3ef1864c458148b2fdc76ac9f
21.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:30:45 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003d0044f47e9ff6922e50ef049abc95135d9f3bda59efab1f23ad3bd39977b6
4.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:30:45 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0063007a2dfcdf73a07dca44f8de0c353c74765a2b216314034594eb80271d6e
43.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:30:45 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0070005801a1717f7d559ffca12c0fd31c92824c8692ba73c06ee69e7c931c80
564.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:30:11 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005707da0D5fCFbAE76920Dc029cB484f461f523
Tx: 0x006000037b5ffeeba67edfbd7999122bb460f7f6033fcd07311f705dd1493f89
565.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:30:04 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0057c29C746235873b2F8936E7f9ff0580239844
Tx: 0x006e00762e97f033ff86939a9750a7cbbafdd0c84af39a268e054fce94b21762