Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:27:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:28:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18,048.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
13x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
18,048.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 18049 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
9,571.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,571.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00132BF0385DbBd568c8a5D8C5bdAaF41301A2b1
Net sender
Unknown type
6,783.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00253e7Ec1EdEE599B1165FD52630B8e88562489
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,783.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,130.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,571.86 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,355.48 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:26:54 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
1,354.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:25:43 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
18,048.63 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:28:07 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate7 tx
24,094.03 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:24:31 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1,130.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:29:19 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:23:19 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
2,261.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:30:31 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
2,135.36 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:22:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,571.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:27:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
564.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:27:52 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005707da0D5fCFbAE76920Dc029cB484f461f523
Tx: 0x001900682bd136d65e015829a91b4ee381d25c57b7b13898ff245a0174780e12
6,783.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:27:48 P.M.
From: 0x00132BF0385DbBd568c8a5D8C5bdAaF41301A2b1
To: 0x00253e7Ec1EdEE599B1165FD52630B8e88562489
Tx: 0x007200452708bfee8486897f117a4a5d3e389e716d240a7d27276a9a8d84d3be
240.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:27:48 P.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00630079d5f02a65224b712cce8d716b32fd4f21158358d17ef590cfd079207f
114.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:27:48 P.M.
From: 0x002f67c884920007be348B4822f66D4Eaa13D83D
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0040000f1b6c89b199143a712a72bfa49d467c1cbdf990d1c8cdbdc93fabd408
93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:27:48 P.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x000f0022a1ea57a34e79a98c5f66d87b9f030d983f3ad536e0d3f5501f97ca99
114.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:27:48 P.M.
From: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x00560071a2cf7698a7ff8b33dfad54348175f31211255a866be61f4a8944a0cd
9,571.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:27:48 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000700366c308f35f2e1c5ecbd6b06e0a4f15b84f979d02e83f023e7de9d73bd
565.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:27:48 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0057c29C746235873b2F8936E7f9ff0580239844
Tx: 0x006b006f643fde118e7c4c68157dd41e486ecd2e1923ce73255641d1452471e3
