Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:17:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,142.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00475F505771FBEb80b794eef987181bE45282b3 • 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00475F505771FBEb80b794eef987181bE45282b3 • 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00475F505771FBEb80b794eef987181bE45282b3
Balanced
Unknown type
10,998.63 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,309.43 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Net sender
Unknown type
2,729.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,077.06 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:17:19 P.M.
-1 min
14 tx
13,034.05 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:16:05 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:14:53 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
15,142.35 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:18:31 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
5,240.05 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:13:42 P.M.
+3 min
8 tx
3,174.65 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:19:42 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
496.03 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:20:54 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate42 tx
24,962.37 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:12:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:17:34 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568
To: 0x00475F505771FBEb80b794eef987181bE45282b3
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
497.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:17:56 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x005dA392F8b1cAFce10Af27761Cb1fC9DA1A1b77
Tx: 0x0079000ba17742f07dffea13d7636fef17832c3aeac413f91af2c8ec49bac622
2,729.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:17:34 P.M.
From: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0046006fb7d3cee9da47ab7eec7cebbe184b131006bfa9a6dbc67748290525d4
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:17:34 P.M.
From: 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568
To: 0x00475F505771FBEb80b794eef987181bE45282b3
Tx: 0x006a0025393a059103d79132f70d7b9869ce2108bb9bcb6248c3f8dd2fc3d68b
337.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:17:34 P.M.
From: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0003004dbedaaac19b3f25edc54e24a734ea713e3fc6df421236e621be942b18
580.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:17:34 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x003b002e4fabd4417ef2deac49ba373654fca6d8dca090f357ec1b745d40bce5
998.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:17:34 P.M.
From: 0x00475F505771FBEb80b794eef987181bE45282b3
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x005900479963cd13d2543696904abfa48ec238da6300f46d7d2098c4014308ec