Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:15:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,657.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
2,657.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2658 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,145.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00475F505771FBEb80b794eef987181bE45282b3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
580.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Net receiver
Unknown type
564.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:14:53 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
5,240.05 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:13:42 P.M.
+1 min
14 tx
13,034.05 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:16:05 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:17:19 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate42 tx
24,962.37 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:12:29 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:11:16 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
15,142.35 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:18:31 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
2,206.04 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:10:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:15:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568
To: 0x00475F505771FBEb80b794eef987181bE45282b3
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:15:40 P.M.
From: 0x002d8a52c2522f9f755cfBb06fE50bF2462ec568
To: 0x00475F505771FBEb80b794eef987181bE45282b3
Tx: 0x0056003bcd67360e3064c8d6b37043a3d8915def88e384c399392ce8786590c5
498.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:15:40 P.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0042002a4eb4f0994c690484f0aee3e2afd8305da3bb8e2abd7b7913f4e5a35e
14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:15:40 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x001600686e8f43332ad13a18639d18b0ab21c85166e76fba6f0c7702d4c4982a
564.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:15:40 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000622F8424BD1f32c797557D5d4EB6B9eD99aca
Tx: 0x00450047a1dc14fb8bb9b42f91dec82791a880d5f7f1e713eabfdad0240c8dd6
580.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:15:40 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x006a001786cd03d030d3b11d70dd62596372159b1f2576c6b41680144c10bd29