Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 10:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 10:30:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 10:31:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 129.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
79.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 80 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 10:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
129.55 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
39.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
Net sender
Unknown type
29.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Net sender
Unknown type
29.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
25.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
79.77 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:30:23 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
3,050.07 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:29:11 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
79.77 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:28:00 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
129.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:31:35 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
15,832.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:26:48 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
79.77 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:32:46 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
25.07 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:25:37 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:33:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
39.22 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:30:43 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
2.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:30:43 P.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007c0057803076110aa128627cc146ccb9d26c5b921db3c59c2e470a27c41d6a
3.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:30:43 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004d001b516f3ec5c543e4c80728a531ba58a9e01535331f3cba5f9b13c21460
39.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:30:43 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0041007dddeacde51f8c252d92f89c3f671fa2d301fc8e441ac48c0f6f331ac8
29.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:30:43 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0040006b6d9375b504479a2afa583d82a6152d37a9ab5bd4f2aec3492c5246c2
29.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:30:43 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00730050fb4b5300a946741c5e6210bf539ae330c550554b4b8e5f6538f5e02c
25.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:30:43 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005b005610dc72bfeea4e5d3ab0df44d084e53144ec244d7f0d6ac4da0cea3b1