Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 10:28:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 10:28:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 10:29:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,050.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
79.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 80 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40 • 0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 10:28:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,025 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007891c631668890983F9f0b9B8c5A73a7b5063D
Net sender
Unknown type
25.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
79.77 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:28:00 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
15,832.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:26:48 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
3,050.07 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:29:11 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
25.07 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:25:37 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
79.77 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:30:23 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
54.7 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:24:25 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
129.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:31:35 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
15,857.85 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:23:14 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:28:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:28:37 P.M.
From: 0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0015003155852247fa67ccdff541404c9d25ea4a34e8d2fc9e1c94c30ec67566
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:28:37 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x000d002fb76b0c03b18a97dfa3c0a8e4b84d8d37e67e6a49fda796353ec451cb
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:28:37 P.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x0064004dd3624ce8e328fe269b911b87771596ed6b79adcf057f726edbf16b45
25.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:28:37 P.M.
From: 0x007891c631668890983F9f0b9B8c5A73a7b5063D
To: 0x0071b23D7729B79BCCF451F0E5E14c749BbbF61a
Tx: 0x0043002db1e84fe8b1a91cbff44df4e69fe0d0b452a9123d874c26fa4b136500
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:28:37 P.M.
From: 0x0002A68FFE3a43350E0B3c05781C655E6d04Fa0d
To: 0x0039D1b1275C2329e3C54164f52674936FCB8A40
Tx: 0x000700660ca1f29e1a4bbee8fe0eb725669f053a7c581b9b1828f725bf787ba3