Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 10:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 802.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
3.6x previous minute
68x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
29
Observable rows
29
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
44
Asset volume
802.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 802 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 29 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 29 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
751.46 QUAI across 25 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
150.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
141.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
126.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
Net receiver
Unknown type
103.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
29 tx
802.07 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:11:15 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
222.37 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:10:02 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
11.73 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:12:27 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
898.38 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:08:51 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate51 tx
29,055.42 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:07:39 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:13:40 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:14:51 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:06:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
150.63 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
All transfers in this selected minute
29 transactions
103.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
Tx: 0x000200477f1980bc59f1b18b3f3882ab0b79d741083dc7a299e56ac6c4634aa7
6.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x006a00073570b7de4a204c0fdc267460b0dc350796586187af5ab297ceb13374
5.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005384Cd7aE33b1CC1A2D9843BA446a4706AdA8E
Tx: 0x003500448133e748440215c0a19e93200c7fa2f42b0bd2bd8f64300e25b95fe0
5.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00441D0859a3998b05671c490Dd7e42f45E3a5a7
Tx: 0x004d00167d004e346d48fd3a4b2278e77fa7fbf527977c9a8adb1213b1a77b13
11.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x004a005840bfc9fdd64f3b9d8b533fcff503a03e288670b1c8ebd7a87b044bc1
4.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
Tx: 0x0069003242ea81d24b55df3b7f439e4568380f24c639d7f9274a2cc7a86d3365
10.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Tx: 0x0045004fe98d0139b545058b11fa9d90417befcf8bf385d572a23f4c366bbab7
12.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x006000066cb20afd74aa1cc0fa10528a415344a0f358d470213cb9269f816a2e
4.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x001c0022509e2c7373b785f83c678b23e8a83a0ea050db0cd3551e4132e29da4
16.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072c56AC01BC87d9beDD29891D147Ac35D3dde1
Tx: 0x0022002e88efc3f5b496ba8cc676fba6f34894a80b952805a8298eed7125739c
4.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003e21F7B1c0B3B83CeA217DF788fA0642BDF778
Tx: 0x0045001eb2af4e4cc5f9dd74226897819a030df6f6658b352a3ae91911509325
6.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006817DFD988aD236B9f57D931180757cAEe69fc
Tx: 0x003b00417f1ba9a3b8359ae2ad21084e36a59d94fa12e0824c33fef8404e0e8c
42.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x000f002349b93899f623fc45f9d118849cec4b0055083d67c3a087a5cf5c7936
10.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00461C323876FB10d59A276B9d7E098270ae2074
Tx: 0x0015004e529a7704140016f3c20a402299d1fc425201fbb52e15054472489c8e
6.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x000f006539aa0a58085160a105cf1559c7293b7c727e80196f796fd197e3a019
4.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002115F14EAAC72C927A5a01f80De321282f4cf9
Tx: 0x003f00260a1383187722edb68aa89909a3c16c76b21be8716909878b85ade586
141.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x0049005ad03e4cb7ac7449ca0954daa86a2adc5d109e5fa744fbd7f371b5e483
150.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0001003c5c7075f2fec6751fb831ae98e7f89901b64f9d9cfadb602001d48349
22.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x007b002af6f56ab2a5cd1541b9ed318dbc7620f3501025a0b9e9f3beb89baf2b
8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Tx: 0x005800535754427590320b07f6ed91d78384838ee08c0c7762460bdc05de134d
7.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
Tx: 0x0071000c6a4f1c9e7ffc3d94b7011737da9ccd8a435e0f04294bd5c34a35037a
8.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0055F4bDaC95E394DcbB8DF8c4A87291629E967a
Tx: 0x003d004135bd130d00e3717885c3e022ce6625885f87389fa102d141ce9cfc03
22.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0016007b490b15fbe73d68c951a9877fd4dd0ce66f7ef95e403c893c9187597b
126.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x007d001b35fa581b95a72466c22ea0d6147e16d939cb6cff82d3d05be8b164f4
4.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x0073004714df6de3ac2ad52ac3e8c0efcf78bd8be52ac5df8f99c2360aacc7c6
14.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006d0065c8c0fcf80328d5a7ca7dfc6ac0f6212f30d60146638d5501aa26f404
6.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00420023c55815558bedd49a0f218d673641452efe1e1297aa9f205889f3461b
12.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003b0023171f4296e4fac0ab2cf04356961429574624d47bba576496b2910b18
16.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005700797428c3be49076dcfb6058ea7af5d336583e1e0a0d4c8491c0caa2b0f