Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:48:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,182
Unexplained QUAI: 200,655.2
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
7.9x above local average
354x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
3
27.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
204,837.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039e2f592dc7D2F46864E094A7160EDa73dB35e • 0x001b603c4cbC43Da1590BD979016B9B5e85e9F58.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 204837 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039e2f592dc7D2F46864E094A7160EDa73dB35e • 0x001b603c4cbC43Da1590BD979016B9B5e85e9F58.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039e2f592dc7D2F46864E094A7160EDa73dB35e
Net sender
Unknown type
4,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001b603c4cbC43Da1590BD979016B9B5e85e9F58
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
182 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000A54743C90c0b62bc930Bdd8a98Ed5bDF6633F
Net receiver
Unknown type
91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b1a9bB8ec030E88ec89eb7390d5444F147109
Net receiver
Unknown type
91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
6 tx
579.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:47:24 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate11 tx
204,837.2 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:48:36 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
618.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:46:13 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
364 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:49:47 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
216.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:45:01 P.M.
+3 min
9 tx
819 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:50:59 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:43:50 P.M.
+4 min
8 tx
728 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:52:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:48:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039e2f592dc7D2F46864E094A7160EDa73dB35e
To: 0x001b603c4cbC43Da1590BD979016B9B5e85e9F58
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
4,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:48:20 P.M.
From: 0x0039e2f592dc7D2F46864E094A7160EDa73dB35e
To: 0x001b603c4cbC43Da1590BD979016B9B5e85e9F58
Tx: 0x0017007f74e14ec43217ba045ea4a67e87ca93899eddb222b3ea8d37dc793808
91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:48:14 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x000A54743C90c0b62bc930Bdd8a98Ed5bDF6633F
Tx: 0x00480007db28c9683ea5012e374044edae3d893efd824eebad61b81a6c882ea7
91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:48:04 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x004b1a9bB8ec030E88ec89eb7390d5444F147109
Tx: 0x00190055fb75a7b3a88a75968b3006353838160a6b03de0a937c0d45bbe2118e