Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:33:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,477.36
Unexplained QUAI: 27,893.19
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
271x previous minute
12x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
30,370.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8 • 0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 30371 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8 • 0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
477.36 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00274e3041509dA181bC3EF30E4939E830BfB2a5
Net receiver
Unknown type
121.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00043436D5Eb329253df707f0672d585C21dCa9E
Net receiver
Unknown type
121.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
30,370.55 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:33:05 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
112.22 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:31:53 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
2,477.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:34:16 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
618.8 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:30:41 P.M.
+2 min
16 tx
2,656.92 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:35:29 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate12 tx
31,184 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:29:29 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:36:41 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
530.4 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:28:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:33:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
To: 0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
121.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:33:46 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00274e3041509dA181bC3EF30E4939E830BfB2a5
Tx: 0x0053001b7fd5b0587ad810c69db02bc04bb4b5d7ba6c5842706c691f191fe867
121.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:33:46 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00043436D5Eb329253df707f0672d585C21dCa9E
Tx: 0x002d000388ce3708962564b64ad7daad44c24512bc7533ac832e4ce9974d7c25
118.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:33:46 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0071D908D0981A1e02747cb58C6f2D8e2998eD94
Tx: 0x00020049660c72f8d97673e86fa7437bdbead2a68477642fc6d648f45c98e9dd
115.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:33:46 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0014FEEAB3DA8Bbe1dc49A708317f9afA63C43A3
Tx: 0x003500267b94e5b62f6cb7c54cdcc5b697a238f6e1697a5ab67533685357a3f0
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:33:46 P.M.
From: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
To: 0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf
Tx: 0x006400451a0d0a6b956ebeb381410b7396fd8fdee3229b41c6ba282de5694423