Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:30:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:31:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 642.62
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 14% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
618.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 619 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
530.4 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.22 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002635E081a737D7a480C798E9946cbd63B48042
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00057Fd8cD15bD4f8e70f4C67bdC363C438A3B99
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001072766A54C386593a26C46fC7726F068e1ddD
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate12 tx
31,184 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:29:29 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
618.8 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:30:41 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
530.4 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:28:16 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
112.22 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:31:53 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
387.92 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:27:04 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
30,370.55 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:33:05 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
1,835.96 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:25:52 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
2,477.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:34:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
88.4 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:07 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x002635E081a737D7a480C798E9946cbd63B48042
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
51.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:48 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005e003051fcb29d35a9648195f80e52ed93c1f4e5a27d20a78e293f8f113e9e
15.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:48 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000600658256d8d6fa764e94d3fea368e58a70397ffd212590b2fa7e577691cd
4.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:48 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000d0014dd488626819870d1eda391a27a2fa6030d17e13ae30b78a96539d5c7
4.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:48 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000a0068ad65199c0b6a171da0d133698b155ac18deb3584b02fcc40c041ece1
36.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:48 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00240019269c0e19de83c11e6f032e66e2b5a3c7cfabfd79c63612304c747ac7
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:07 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x002635E081a737D7a480C798E9946cbd63B48042
Tx: 0x00750009cc00de126096cfd4e90e30a0c5ea2a222c921fdcaec2b036f82c768b
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:03 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00057Fd8cD15bD4f8e70f4C67bdC363C438A3B99
Tx: 0x0011001adb9fe01f3fe46da5f7de8d24272cd2bc5be339109889a7b9ddc09f87
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:03 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x001072766A54C386593a26C46fC7726F068e1ddD
Tx: 0x001000279c7202ccbb8c8876653796a724a4a95d6350af40829c590ae746c9cb
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:03 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x003683280434dd5cF2b9446Ae827a11422b452ff
Tx: 0x0073001403aed6002c8d0f366abf428307eceec8817855f61f68da93d74776c1
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:03 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00505CFa65fB917567EEd364de15f8496c6E1BA2
Tx: 0x0023007aabadc0f0047a31904f12d566d677563652a77fc1cacf3d79c0d8999e
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:30:03 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x005Cc351C45C0b356aA2dD35Ef04C714d2FB1441
Tx: 0x00770064197ca01b4328c64665de136dcc7dd9f83a00168319d5954c7659c836