Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:20:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,713.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
6,713.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 6713 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
Net sender
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032c7dab560a5Eda2c808096A32087FB1fC2d44
Net sender
Unknown type
885.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
885.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
679.12 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 885.16 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
10,369.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:19:55 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
22,645.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:18:43 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
6,890.03 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:21:06 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2,498.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:17:31 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
314.08 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:22:18 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
109.43 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:16:19 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
1,550.96 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:23:30 P.M.
-5 min
9 tx
5,027.38 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:15:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
167.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0059b41A5152B6f77f20B8BeB6108C3F85f671C9
Tx: 0x003100203920b0a9b5366a023283ed9cf0eb9259f5996d88c3333a2ca589c31d
17.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000b004411a0dcc3cc7d379649a91d58d88f75f0a97437006fc2d9cbce82b5ea
48.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
From: 0x0052F65C1Df925662cFCaC51Db91aD37dd8eea71
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0048007d9d19b215abe53436dbd17a0d1f2cfcbf64897a626ce05c11b49e99be
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
From: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x000e00795137b14a1b016adfadc7f1b5ea37602d5a56a207ef5ab54f7b3b5955
885.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
From: 0x0032c7dab560a5Eda2c808096A32087FB1fC2d44
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001100245dc06dd188f67ce5ce425c5c5ae33db1225028c4645fa7a9907eecfb
167.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0054Ef96bdC8a7215B43B9eeeA13F9dFbaf05474
Tx: 0x005a004743322d72cc512e64f81b790b991d95ab6c8b7d03c24ded9e5bb76dbc
18.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00540030f395a809b51e8e2661e807cd58ba49c5dd872743b435b4b8ca007a1a
65.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
From: 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e0018c40b1364d7f16965b0b88d0595065771f1a387a8414f6ad5cde47756
166.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0076791f376F7B97d27972Edcf6FbF1DF4024756
Tx: 0x007a005ec77408e604919b39bc8f5ff986147415e5de7312d2ea955a4de4a81d
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:20:26 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00680C6Ae5497735028dbfBA2B5656417936ce64
Tx: 0x007700210521e774eef0273e7f373cb289e8211c3f7c3b2e1f0136ceafa57078