Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:19:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,546.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
4.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
10,369.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10370 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
10,016 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,016 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
530.4 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0041c1aa7A7A89AEA8934B4f36F54376985D7F20
Net receiver
Unknown type
176.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001276BA803e4815e7ed1566CAA458D6421bc0F7
Net receiver
Unknown type
176.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 10,016 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
22,645.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:18:43 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
2,498.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:17:31 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
10,369.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:19:55 P.M.
+2 min
11 tx
6,890.03 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:21:06 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
109.43 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:16:19 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
314.08 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:22:18 P.M.
-4 min
9 tx
5,027.38 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:15:08 P.M.
-5 min
15 tx
395.39 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:13:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,016 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:19:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:19:54 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0041c1aa7A7A89AEA8934B4f36F54376985D7F20
Tx: 0x00230047a5dcc95880844ee7771d110b54d3671956de88126bc80b20190cb52e
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:19:47 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x001276BA803e4815e7ed1566CAA458D6421bc0F7
Tx: 0x00270078b1c951b5d7a787f3a89fe9132eaba7390ced9002ed344efbc5f7a9c2
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:19:29 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0037871994bf4B508Ffe1De5A2d2B54d7F66510d
Tx: 0x0046002529561fb792f3f84d57365a252c02c1f4b436fd5b3d8827a9db062814
10,016 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:19:06 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
Tx: 0x006f0036e48646d916fb066eba984d6b4999e1d4da54996aa765655886c65e8c