Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:18:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,645.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
207x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
22,645.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 22646 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
2,116.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,116.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
530.4 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,498.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:17:31 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
22,645.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:18:43 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
109.43 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:16:19 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
10,369.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:19:55 P.M.
-3 min
9 tx
5,027.38 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:15:08 P.M.
+3 min
11 tx
6,890.03 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:21:06 P.M.
-4 min
15 tx
395.39 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:13:56 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
314.08 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:22:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.01 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:18:38 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x001Db625E9BF2240DBa3EbcBD5bA6B59d2c8Fe78
Tx: 0x001000134a48acf2e178f4ac85c72d4fff00d84c474f4a0d74878f045ecbb2bc
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:18:38 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x004558183bA261a0DF4082aF608A8b2d5DD5Ab85
Tx: 0x006c0033d6c6e6ccd91a1f732baec07a822b6136d8ec5392ffe475a7061efe20
2,116.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:18:23 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
Tx: 0x001a0038621428bc00dbf059309cdc8cf6701a6ef8172621cec92e60df31e69c
19,999.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00660056b415d9278389840d7e79a0a50168f31853fe6d758e21bb4a6b7b28ce
176.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0009621819BA54Dce418F86eA96679e003b07631
Tx: 0x0018006a197e61f8b487ad85009e71a9e10cf01598168ff9604f830a77f854e9