Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:14:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,027.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
5,027.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005dD85fD6f2Bf47A9CE00E6913Cc6dFa2614a3F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5027 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005dD85fD6f2Bf47A9CE00E6913Cc6dFa2614a3F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,031.3 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005dD85fD6f2Bf47A9CE00E6913Cc6dFa2614a3F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,999.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
885.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032c7dab560a5Eda2c808096A32087FB1fC2d44
Net receiver
Unknown type
885.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
491.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,031.3 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
395.39 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:13:56 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:12:44 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
5,027.38 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:15:08 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
1,296.81 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:11:33 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
109.43 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:16:19 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
100.46 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:10:21 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
2,498.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:17:31 P.M.
-5 min
52 tx
4,115 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:09:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,999.25 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005dD85fD6f2Bf47A9CE00E6913Cc6dFa2614a3F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
99.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:32 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00650058d92a1009f3ba25137b1feb36c98eeb8af20f5d9e04f45c7403d0f60a
491.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:32 P.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f0049b20283240f339db01f02e843c5c276bb5c1a59c94801efa40674a25e
107.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:32 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050004e81bcff391c7ef1ce15451e03371856d88e3d77c4688df3c1203a199e
119.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:32 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b007e58a021c7ebd605fc2a40bb5b2d93eff828c65239d835b783bf82dc9b
2,999.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:32 P.M.
From: 0x005dD85fD6f2Bf47A9CE00E6913Cc6dFa2614a3F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f004cb00f0fc5466057b6edcd4ae26be7c1bd9d04b6babc20db23c289b54b
114.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:32 P.M.
From: 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021001fbf5e336145240c8fb931875adee50fc21cbb8cafb092195d7f481acd
99.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:32 P.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0017db3cc9b201f04904bf5077c899859aefd75ee5988da629cac34326a1
885.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:12 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0032c7dab560a5Eda2c808096A32087FB1fC2d44
Tx: 0x0040005ae94f4fafd9eb579b4761fe7b1fc15d6c1dcac342a623f3111e72c114
110.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:14:12 P.M.
From: 0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00240019ab01073f277b8eb77f1f5194e9877ab8eaa08267c92775c0503b52ca