Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:44:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
21% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 425.15
Unexplained QUAI: 1,574.85
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 13% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
5.4x previous minute
4.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
2,000 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x00142C1ae8fF34b47c69A598d0239743a36bf97E.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 2000 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x00142C1ae8fF34b47c69A598d0239743a36bf97E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
425.15 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x00142C1ae8fF34b47c69A598d0239743a36bf97E
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000CD363D2c5a7381E504e347957CDfdB60be196
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a72c606a560654eBF1def9DEafB5A3411fbC0
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004334b833b459F1776f77B71f219891d0AE64B5
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,000 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:44:04 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
371.28 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:42:53 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
425.15 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:45:17 P.M.
-2 min
8 tx
1,527.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:41:41 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
1,263.48 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:46:29 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
388.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:40:29 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
218.4 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:47:41 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate6 tx
2,505 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:39:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
53.87 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:44:54 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00142C1ae8fF34b47c69A598d0239743a36bf97E
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
53.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:44:54 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00142C1ae8fF34b47c69A598d0239743a36bf97E
Tx: 0x0064005d35a40e5628c7e3b715d3421554e51c202d4a39e411d3f84df0f9512a
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:44:41 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x000CD363D2c5a7381E504e347957CDfdB60be196
Tx: 0x0055002bfb5bbb5026f78a9a22d1ba0ef074b3e3c5520651d9fc9a76e9a1b900
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:44:30 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x002a72c606a560654eBF1def9DEafB5A3411fbC0
Tx: 0x0003007b9ba129b74304e3554269356350313c67c0c4a6d3a3d1ab904cf12a3d
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:44:26 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x004334b833b459F1776f77B71f219891d0AE64B5
Tx: 0x006d0057ea418fb9053e024467657a1b27e9ec3f70f0e54ac2d31be335d54da5
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:44:26 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0031600ED0801741a48DbA5F07806C0De859b205
Tx: 0x0068006ba5587e4cde7efb5505498e3026ca5888b765a596f6ab41e2079cb175
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:44:26 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x003e8f86bCc0371A055EF18112Efe2622090518E
Tx: 0x003b001bad59d9e28594cd3ee457561cef27f517a45be915cf0f6595a101b846
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:44:26 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00752658aADCF199C2d4f9D53A4fDDc41Ec6c642
Tx: 0x0023000c57111b1ba6443af5fa7f7ed574ef3f67f5fa54bc80926e785a4269d5
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:44:26 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00589Aa848f260464aee0a8Cd05BFb3C42AD7EC0
Tx: 0x000e00208cfeb524b6a91cd463e4cd685307b086f3b21e38deb8ad625c08512d