Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:41:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,527.02
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
3.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
1,527.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1527 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00070aB0E8d6AdcA455eDE59fd7Ce3B761C73d56
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
265.2 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
388.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:40:29 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
1,527.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:41:41 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
2,505 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:39:18 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
371.28 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:42:53 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
839.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:38:06 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2,000 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:44:04 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
11,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:36:55 P.M.
+4 min
8 tx
425.15 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:45:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
700 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:41:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
700 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:41:13 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e
Tx: 0x007a000fc73ffbff8b9efc73c28786a1d0389a3845b2c99006809f5be4532800
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:41:13 P.M.
From: 0x00070aB0E8d6AdcA455eDE59fd7Ce3B761C73d56
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x003400301c9136af0f45439e0ef65f2f40066f886eef867915a64ee71624d885
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:41:13 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x004E844f7337D7a8f40E576B845805bBD3474E13
Tx: 0x0015001f941c331bbb82413aaead8239009f39c9f0565f73303983bc22bc5f8f
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:41:13 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x000C104e86f55b2ab438BC4C22F4B221dE7cC522
Tx: 0x00120075e625f300b24336470e73b82d770bc630f208f17486f3ed3ee62f8bc0
61.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:41:13 P.M.
From: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0025004722e9fb95eaee563ebf126489db42622fc80927a56ade4fb2a4d1d45d
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:41:13 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0043Fb1AF5C409409E06be3199b11a7e58299D3c
Tx: 0x001a004247c2648b4c925a29a72d7bf9cff955441e9880cf908014c62d163e69
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:41:13 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x001CF2858E33fefe93C3Da704D926eB68F64D9C4
Tx: 0x002c00682e8006e526dac27d0a19ee047e1f68f294245fc33881d7dd59c679cb
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:41:13 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x004b72833FD536367Bf80C4d60222897b3235912
Tx: 0x0029006b3f1e42d82e12b83cd4e63d243b69aa8fc3bd893a1b58a0220797ec9b
