Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:38:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,531
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
839.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 840 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1
Net sender
Unknown type
1,496.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,496.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
1,034.28 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00681f956fbb695E542F7A51A792aac4010d0E43
Net receiver
Unknown type
212.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034B38ABA10512a600c7498760570c8c0378C71
Net receiver
Unknown type
212.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,496.72 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
839.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:38:06 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
11,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:36:55 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,505 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:39:18 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
218.4 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:35:43 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
388.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:40:29 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,787.05 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:34:31 P.M.
+4 min
8 tx
1,527.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:41:41 P.M.
-5 min
10 tx
494.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:33:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,496.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:38:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,496.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:38:23 P.M.
From: 0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00240037b4b480e97c2ae700e9b8b95ecc80b6c85877fd9d6905e6bcb8b81be1
203.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:38:23 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00384AfA61939253A11E7079B6Bc751bea50ae81
Tx: 0x000d00521114c6c14489072e2e29fdcc08274e0d7c84fe1a06765f24cc285ae5
203.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:38:13 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0008A5f63c8F51992969742f9b4AE72Ba3F4F57b
Tx: 0x0016002011e81b079c8b60ab38238759b0e7450d79ed5591ef556492e97ede18
212.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:38:04 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00681f956fbb695E542F7A51A792aac4010d0E43
Tx: 0x00640005e449c4a54e4d61726b43e4ad60a9bf0257b738c386648a93ebfdb977
212.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:38:04 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0034B38ABA10512a600c7498760570c8c0378C71
Tx: 0x0056005181e14adc4959895fa74b748988d9b81d13dab1e5393660176fa4ff12
203.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:38:04 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0013927CAE42AD9775D5082D34023e770529ebB1
Tx: 0x005b0068860fc0e98a88c0673bfef287418df8225268467ff4692ab1ee294e52