Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:33:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:34:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
82% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 406.66
Unexplained QUAI: 87.43
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 13% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.6x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
9
90.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
494.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x0004D2e8C55565453014545A59B64ED5c33b36d5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 494 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x0004D2e8C55565453014545A59B64ED5c33b36d5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
406.66 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x0004D2e8C55565453014545A59B64ED5c33b36d5
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e48B7569BEAf1Dab25D117E34AD9102d0E6d7
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001d91d29bbeC334A22BC0F5aC67A37De0e032b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
45.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061f6EeacdC3841e3F2E62B02c34E31A078e0Ff
Net receiver
Unknown type
45.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
494.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:33:19 P.M.
-1 min
9 tx
301.47 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:32:07 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
72.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:30:56 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,787.05 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:34:31 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
177.38 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:29:44 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
218.4 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:35:43 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
5,487.19 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:28:33 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
11,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:36:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
53.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:41 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0004D2e8C55565453014545A59B64ED5c33b36d5
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:41 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0004D2e8C55565453014545A59B64ED5c33b36d5
Tx: 0x00300013de3c2379ebe906bb37ffe3e23111897b08b1e9bac4e59eefbec241ac
53.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:10 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x003e48B7569BEAf1Dab25D117E34AD9102d0E6d7
Tx: 0x00490054a50cda26fe141935ca676f4c5d72aa22e7aeb818ce7eadd726413366
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:02 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x003aC11FE2fc4006749aA80094729012089FB372
Tx: 0x004800157bb746d5f72482fb961ceceee78eda280ebbad336bc59aa1c7341e21
39.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:02 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00231B382fE735F76b95c5fceBcBF761C0d20084
Tx: 0x006f0014dcb90269a1e3c500776bc95b7226c880439303faa5585a61ab852067
44.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:02 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0062CDA1655cE65375Aa47aF340fA84044F21138
Tx: 0x002c004e3a9cb62a9a8827eaaff48cd58218d6aa3f8560bcb11d4c7230c87d84
45.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:02 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x001d91d29bbeC334A22BC0F5aC67A37De0e032b8
Tx: 0x002d006f1c17c4b47c09ef08c9f0ffb82496f555991735f442bcb4332d25ff45
45.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:02 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0077f94a90CcC998f7Ba0E47eB0120F7599aEBEa
Tx: 0x00760059c2789c775be90e5712a4c3ce634faa3540b0612bded405c7045ab3bb
45.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:02 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0061f6EeacdC3841e3F2E62B02c34E31A078e0Ff
Tx: 0x003400671ada986c61052982691c585923815f8c4d61494515409e524e9228cd
45.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:33:02 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x005A15C2143022b7DE87a58e899b20ecA319B3FA
Tx: 0x0031001ba21ac8dd99ee660329b024915ae3ace026bcf4f221af9146d7d09b6f
