Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:32:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:33:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
47% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 140.47
Unexplained QUAI: 161
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
4.2x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
2
22.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
301.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005f617758666F87121A6b9f6243f4BD81A51fde • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 301 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005f617758666F87121A6b9f6243f4BD81A51fde • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (53% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (47%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005f617758666F87121A6b9f6243f4BD81A51fde
Net sender
Unknown type
104.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
104.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
36.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006e8E526A486FeCa78C4aD05079971941cAA91E
Net receiver
Unknown type
36.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 104.28 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
301.47 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:32:07 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
72.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:30:56 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
494.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:33:19 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
177.38 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:29:44 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
5,487.19 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:28:33 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,787.05 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:34:31 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
218.4 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:35:43 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
108.58 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:27:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
104.28 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:32:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005f617758666F87121A6b9f6243f4BD81A51fde
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:32:56 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x006e8E526A486FeCa78C4aD05079971941cAA91E
Tx: 0x005e00293119510073a7cf2ce8de010250426d3e0db0400958dc05db852b30ee
104.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:32:56 P.M.
From: 0x005f617758666F87121A6b9f6243f4BD81A51fde
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005300139be67dbbbb70879502c2148307465722cada4108dce68b8cbca0d03f